29-1122.00

Occupational therapists

160,000 workers$98,340/yr medianMaster's degree
2.3

Lower displacement risk

Composite of 5 dimensions (higher = more displacement pressure)

AI Exposure Analysis

GPT-scored exposure3/10

Occupational therapy is a highly physical and interpersonal profession that requires real-time observation, manual manipulation of patients, and the assessment of physical environments like homes and workplaces. While AI can assist with peripheral tasks such as treatment planning, progress documentation, and medical history analysis, the core of the job involves hands-on rehabilitation and emotional support that cannot be replicated digitally.

Dimension Breakdown

Technical AI Exposurepressure
3.0

How many of this occupation's tasks can current or near-term AI systems perform? Based on GPT-scored analysis of 342 BLS occupations validated against 6 academic exposure indices.

Institutional Adoption Speedpressure
0.0

How quickly will firms in this sector actually deploy AI? Accounts for regulatory burden, digital maturity, competitive pressure, union density, and organizational complexity.

Worker Adaptabilityabsorption
5.5

How well can workers in this group transition to new roles? Composite of net liquid wealth (financial buffer), skill transferability, geographic job density, and age demographics.

Demand Elasticityabsorption
5.0

When AI makes this sector's output cheaper, does demand expand enough to offset job losses? High elasticity means the Jevons Paradox may preserve or even grow employment.

AI Complementarityabsorption
9.9

Is AI primarily enhancing workers in this occupation or replacing them? Based on CFO survey data where available, estimated from task composition and job dimensionality otherwise. Jobs with more distinct task clusters (high dimensionality) tend toward augmentation via the O-Ring "focus effect" — automating some tasks lets workers concentrate on remaining ones, multiplying output quality.

5 task dimensionsHigh-dimensional

Task heuristic base: 8.9 +1.0 from dimensionality

Task Composition

How this occupation's work time is distributed across 8 task categories, based on O*NET work activity data.

Information Processing21%
Coordination & Mgmt19%
Interpersonal18%
Analysis & Decision13%
Communication11%
Technical / Specialized9%
Physical / Manual7%
Creative / Generative3%

Top Work Activities

Most important work activities from O*NET, ranked by importance score (1-5).

ActivityCategoryScore
Documenting/Recording InformationTechnical / Specialized4.73
Assisting and Caring for OthersInterpersonal4.64
Getting InformationInformation Processing4.45
Making Decisions and Solving ProblemsAnalysis & Decision4.41
Developing Objectives and StrategiesCoordination & Mgmt4.27
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesCommunication4.27
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsInterpersonal4.27
Identifying Objects, Actions, and EventsInformation Processing4.23
Updating and Using Relevant KnowledgeInformation Processing4.23
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkCoordination & Mgmt4.14

Methodology

This page combines Karpathy's GPT-scored technical exposure (per-occupation) with four additional dimensions inherited from the parent SOC major group: institutional adoption speed, worker adaptability, demand elasticity, and AI complementarity.

Task composition is derived from O*NET work activity data, mapped to 8 internal categories. The complementarity score is adjusted by job dimensionality (Gans & Goldfarb 2024): occupations with more distinct task clusters tend toward augmentation rather than replacement.

Net displacement risk is computed as a weighted composite: exposure (30%), adoption speed (20%), adaptability (15%), demand elasticity (15%), complementarity (20%). Pressure dimensions are normalized independently from absorption dimensions, so defensive factors can fully counterbalance exposure.